votepredictor

votepredictor

US election forecasts with a public, auditable accuracy record. Win probabilities and predicted margins for every 2026 Senate, House and Governor race — including the seats nobody polls, forecast from state lean, incumbency and the national environment and labelled as such. Voting records, ideology scores and reported net worth for all 537 members of Congress. Plus difficulty-adjusted accuracy ratings scoring FiveThirtyEight, Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Polymarket and Kalshi on resolved races since 1998 — with our own model ranked in place alongside them. Three things the tools guarantee: nothing is published at 100%, every forecast states whether it came from polls or fundamentals, and races where a candidate has left the ballot return an explicit refusal rather than a stale number.